Global, regional, and national disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for 306 diseases and injuries and healthy life expectancy (HALE) for 188 countries, 1990-2013: quantifying the epidemiological transition.

Christopher J L Murray; Ryan M Barber; Kyle J Foreman; Ayse Abbasoglu Ozgoren; Foad Abd-Allah; Semaw F Abera; Victor Aboyans; Jerry P Abraham; Ibrahim Abubakar; Laith J Abu-Raddad; Niveen M Abu-Rmeileh; Tom Achoki; Ilana N Ackerman; Zanfina Ademi; Arsène K Adou; José C Adsuar; Ashkan Afshin; Emilie E Agardh; Sayed Saidul Alam; Deena Alasfoor; Mohammed I Albittar; Miguel A Alegretti; Zewdie A Alemu; Rafael Alfonso-Cristancho; Samia Alhabib; Raghib Ali; François Alla; Peter Allebeck; Mohammad A Almazroa; Ubai Alsharif; Elena Alvarez; Nelson Alvis-Guzman; Azmeraw T Amare; Emmanuel A Ameh; Heresh Amini; Walid Ammar; H Ross Anderson; Benjamin O Anderson; Carl Abelardo T Antonio; Palwasha Anwari; Johan Arnlöv; Valentina S Arsic Arsenijevic; Al Artaman; Rana J Asghar; Reza Assadi; Lydia S Atkins; Marco A Avila; Baffour Awuah; Victoria F Bachman; Alaa Badawi; Maria C Bahit; Kalpana Balakrishnan; Amitava Banerjee; Suzanne L Barker-Collo; Simon Barquera; Lars Barregard; Lope H Barrero; Arindam Basu; Sanjay Basu; Mohammed O Basulaiman; Justin Beardsley; Neeraj Bedi; Ettore Beghi; Tolesa Bekele; Michelle L Bell; Corina Benjet; Derrick A Bennett; Isabela M Bensenor; Habib Benzian; Eduardo Bernabé; Amelia Bertozzi-Villa; Tariku J Beyene; Neeraj Bhala; Ashish Bhalla; Zulfiqar A Bhutta; Kelly Bienhoff; Boris Bikbov; Stan Biryukov; Jed D Blore; Christopher D Blosser; Fiona M Blyth; Megan A Bohensky; Ian W Bolliger; Berrak Bora Başara; Natan M Bornstein; Dipan Bose; Soufiane Boufous; Rupert R A Bourne; Lindsay N Boyers; Michael Brainin; Carol E Brayne; Alexandra Brazinova; Nicholas J K Breitborde; Hermann Brenner; Adam D Briggs; Peter M Brooks; Jonathan C Brown; Traolach S Brugha; Rachelle Buchbinder; Geoffrey C Buckle; Christine M Budke; Anne Bulchis; Andrew G Bulloch; Ismael R Campos-Nonato; Hélène Carabin; Jonathan R Carapetis; Rosario Cárdenas; David O Carpenter; Valeria Caso; Carlos A Castañeda-Orjuela; Ruben E Castro; Ferrán Catalá-López; Fiorella Cavalleri; Alanur Çavlin; Vineet K Chadha; Jung-Chen Chang; Fiona J Charlson; Honglei Chen; Wanqing Chen; Peggy P Chiang; Odgerel Chimed-Ochir; Rajiv Chowdhury; Hanne Christensen; Costas A Christophi; Massimo Cirillo; Matthew M Coates; Luc E Coffeng; Megan S Coggeshall; Valentina Colistro; Samantha M Colquhoun; Graham S Cooke; Cyrus Cooper; Leslie T Cooper; Luis M Coppola; Monica Cortinovis; Michael H Criqui; John A Crump; Lucia Cuevas-Nasu; Hadi Danawi; Lalit Dandona; Rakhi Dandona; Emily Dansereau; Paul I Dargan; Gail Davey; Adrian Davis; Dragos V Davitoiu; Anand Dayama; Diego de Leo; Louisa Degenhardt; Borja del Pozo-Cruz; Robert P Dellavalle; Kebede Deribe; Sarah Derrett; Don C Des Jarlais; Muluken Dessalegn; Samath D Dharmaratne; Mukesh K Dherani; Cesar Diaz-Torné; Daniel Dicker; Eric L Ding; Klara Dokova; E Ray Dorsey; Tim R Driscoll; Leilei Duan; Herbert C Duber; Beth E Ebel; Karen M Edmond; Yousef M Elshrek; Matthias Endres; Sergey P Ermakov; Holly E Erskine; Babak Eshrati; Alireza Esteghamati; Kara Estep; Emerito Jose A Faraon; Farshad Farzadfar; Derek F Fay; Valery L Feigin; David T Felson; Seyed-Mohammad Fereshtehnejad; Jefferson G Fernandes; Alize J Ferrari; Christina Fitzmaurice; Abraham D Flaxman; Thomas D Fleming; Nataliya Foigt; Mohammad H Forouzanfar; F Gerry R Fowkes; Urbano Fra Paleo; Richard C Franklin; Thomas Fürst; Belinda Gabbe; Lynne Gaffikin; Fortuné G Gankpé; Johanna M Geleijnse; Bradford D Gessner; Peter Gething; Katherine B Gibney; Maurice Giroud; Giorgia Giussani; Hector Gomez Dantes; Philimon Gona; Diego González-Medina; Richard A Gosselin; Carolyn C Gotay; Atsushi Goto; Hebe N Gouda; Nicholas Graetz; Harish C Gugnani; Rahul Gupta; Rajeev Gupta; Reyna A Gutiérrez; Juanita Haagsma; Nima Hafezi-Nejad; Holly Hagan; Yara A Halasa; Randah R Hamadeh; Hannah Hamavid; Mouhanad Hammami; Jamie Hancock; Graeme J Hankey; Gillian M Hansen; Yuantao Hao; Hilda L Harb; Josep Maria Haro; Rasmus Havmoeller; Simon I Hay; Roderick J Hay; Ileana B Heredia-Pi; Kyle R Heuton; Pouria Heydarpour; Hideki Higashi; Martha Hijar; Hans W Hoek; Howard J Hoffman; H Dean Hosgood; Mazeda Hossain; Peter J Hotez; Damian G Hoy; Mohamed Hsairi; Guoqing Hu; Cheng Huang; John J Huang; Abdullatif Husseini; Chantal Huynh; Marissa L Iannarone; Kim M Iburg; Kaire Innos; Manami Inoue; Farhad Islami; Kathryn H Jacobsen; Deborah L Jarvis; Simerjot K Jassal; Sun Ha Jee; Panniyammakal Jeemon; Paul N Jensen; Vivekanand Jha; Guohong Jiang; Ying Jiang; Jost B Jonas; Knud Juel; Haidong Kan; André Karch; Corine K Karema; Chante Karimkhani; Ganesan Karthikeyan; Nicholas J Kassebaum; Anil Kaul; Norito Kawakami; Konstantin Kazanjan; Andrew H Kemp; Andre P Kengne; Andre Keren; Yousef S Khader; Shams Eldin A Khalifa; Ejaz A Khan; Gulfaraz Khan; Young-Ho Khang; Christian Kieling; Daniel Kim; Sungroul Kim; Yunjin Kim; Yohannes Kinfu; Jonas M Kinge; Miia Kivipelto; Luke D Knibbs; Ann Kristin Knudsen; Yoshihiro Kokubo; Soewarta Kosen; Sanjay Krishnaswami; Barthelemy Kuate Defo; Burcu Kucuk Bicer; Ernst J Kuipers; Chanda Kulkarni; Veena S Kulkarni; G Anil Kumar; Hmwe H Kyu; Taavi Lai; Ratilal Lalloo; Tea Lallukka; Hilton Lam; Qing Lan; van C Lansingh; Anders Larsson; Alicia E B Lawrynowicz; Janet L Leasher; James Leigh; Ricky Leung; Carly E Levitz; Bin Li; Yichong Li; Yongmei Li; Stephen S Lim; Maggie Lind; Steven E Lipshultz; Shiwei Liu; Yang Liu; Belinda K Lloyd; Katherine T Lofgren; Giancarlo Logroscino; Katharine J Looker; Joannie Lortet-Tieulent; Paulo A Lotufo; Rafael Lozano; Robyn M Lucas; Raimundas Lunevicius; Ronan A Lyons; Stefan Ma; Michael F Macintyre; Mark T Mackay; Marek Majdan; Reza Malekzadeh; Wagner Marcenes; David J Margolis; Christopher Margono; Melvin B Marzan; Joseph R Masci; Mohammad T Mashal; Richard Matzopoulos; Bongani M Mayosi; Tasara T Mazorodze; Neil W Mcgill; John J Mcgrath; Martin Mckee; Abigail Mclain; Peter A Meaney; Catalina Medina; Man Mohan Mehndiratta; Wubegzier Mekonnen; Yohannes A Melaku; Michele Meltzer; Ziad A Memish; George A Mensah; Atte Meretoja; Francis A Mhimbira; Renata Micha; Ted R Miller; Edward J Mills; Philip B Mitchell; Charles N Mock; Norlinah Mohamed Ibrahim; Karzan A Mohammad; Ali H Mokdad; Glen L D Mola; Lorenzo Monasta; Julio C Montañez Hernandez; Marcella Montico; Thomas J Montine; Meghan D Mooney; Ami R Moore; Maziar Moradi-Lakeh; Andrew E Moran; Rintaro Mori; Joanna Moschandreas; Wilkister N Moturi; Madeline L Moyer; Dariush Mozaffarian; William T Msemburi; Ulrich O Mueller; Mitsuru Mukaigawara; Erin C Mullany; Michele E Murdoch; Joseph Murray; Kinnari S Murthy; Mohsen Naghavi; Aliya Naheed; Kovin S Naidoo; Luigi Naldi; Devina Nand; Vinay Nangia; K M Venkat Narayan; Chakib Nejjari; Sudan P Neupane; Charles R Newton; Marie Ng; Frida N Ngalesoni; Grant Nguyen; Muhammad I Nisar; Sandra Nolte; Ole F Norheim; Rosana E Norman; Bo Norrving; Luke Nyakarahuka; In-Hwan Oh; Takayoshi Ohkubo; Summer L Ohno; Bolajoko O Olusanya; John Nelson Opio; Katrina Ortblad; Alberto Ortiz; Amanda W Pain; Jeyaraj D Pandian; Carlo Irwin A Panelo; Christina Papachristou; Eun-Kee Park; Jae-Hyun Park; Scott B Patten; George C Patton; Vinod K Paul; Boris I Pavlin; Neil Pearce; David M Pereira; Rogelio Perez-Padilla; Fernando Perez-Ruiz; Norberto Perico; Aslam Pervaiz; Konrad Pesudovs; Carrie B Peterson; Max Petzold; Michael R Phillips; Bryan K Phillips; David E Phillips; Frédéric B Piel; Dietrich Plass; Dan Poenaru; Suzanne Polinder; Daniel Pope; Svetlana Popova; Richie G Poulton; Farshad Pourmalek; Dorairaj Prabhakaran; Noela M Prasad; Rachel L Pullan; Dima M Qato; D Alex Quistberg; Anwar Rafay; Kazem Rahimi; Sajjad U Rahman; Murugesan Raju; Saleem M Rana; Homie Razavi; K Srinath Reddy; Amany Refaat; Giuseppe Remuzzi; Serge Resnikoff; Antonio L Ribeiro; Lee Richardson; Jan Hendrik Richardus; D Allen Roberts; David Rojas-Rueda; Luca Ronfani; Gregory A Roth; Dietrich Rothenbacher; David H Rothstein; Jane T Rowley; Nobhojit Roy; George M Ruhago; Mohammad Y Saeedi; Sukanta Saha; Mohammad Ali Sahraian; Uchechukwu K A Sampson; Juan R Sanabria; Logan Sandar; Itamar S Santos; Maheswar Satpathy; Monika Sawhney; Peter Scarborough; Ione J Schneider; Ben Schöttker; Austin E Schumacher; David C Schwebel; James G Scott; Soraya Seedat; Sadaf G Sepanlou; Peter T Serina; Edson E Servan-Mori; Katya A Shackelford; Amira Shaheen; Saeid Shahraz; Teresa Shamah Levy; Siyi Shangguan; Jun She; Sara Sheikhbahaei; Peilin Shi; Kenji Shibuya; Yukito Shinohara; Rahman Shiri; Kawkab Shishani; Ivy Shiue; Mark G Shrime; Inga D Sigfusdottir; Donald H Silberberg; Edgar P Simard; Shireen Sindi; Abhishek Singh; Jasvinder A Singh; Lavanya Singh; Vegard Skirbekk; Erica Leigh Slepak; Karen Sliwa; Samir Soneji; Kjetil Søreide; Sergey Soshnikov; Luciano A Sposato; Chandrashekhar T Sreeramareddy; Jeffrey D Stanaway; Vasiliki Stathopoulou; Dan J Stein; Murray B Stein; Caitlyn Steiner; Timothy J Steiner; Antony Stevens; Andrea Stewart; Lars J Stovner; Konstantinos Stroumpoulis; Bruno F Sunguya; Soumya Swaminathan; Mamta Swaroop; Bryan L Sykes; Karen M Tabb; Ken Takahashi; Nikhil Tandon; David Tanne; Marcel Tanner; Mohammad Tavakkoli; Hugh R Taylor; Braden J Te Ao; Fabrizio Tediosi; Awoke M Temesgen; Tara Templin; Margreet ten Have; Eric Y Tenkorang; Abdullah S Terkawi; Blake Thomson; Andrew L Thorne-Lyman; Amanda G Thrift; George D Thurston; Taavi Tillmann; Marcello Tonelli; Fotis Topouzis; Hideaki Toyoshima; Jefferson Traebert; Bach X Tran; Matias Trillini; Thomas Truelsen; Miltiadis Tsilimbaris; Emin M Tuzcu; Uche S Uchendu; Kingsley N Ukwaja; Eduardo A Undurraga; Selen B Uzun; Wim H van Brakel; Steven van de Vijver; Coen H van Gool; Jim van Os; Tommi J Vasankari; N Venketasubramanian; Francesco S Violante; Vasiliy V Vlassov; Stein Emil Vollset; Gregory R Wagner; Joseph Wagner; Stephen G Waller; Xia Wan; Haidong Wang; Jianli Wang; Linhong Wang; Tati S Warouw; Scott Weichenthal; Elisabete Weiderpass; Robert G Weintraub; Wang Wenzhi; Andrea Werdecker; Ronny Westerman; Harvey A Whiteford; James D Wilkinson; Thomas N Williams; Charles D Wolfe; Timothy M Wolock; Anthony D Woolf; Sarah Wulf; Brittany Wurtz; Gelin Xu; Lijing L Yan; Yuichiro Yano; Pengpeng Ye; Gökalp K Yentür; Paul Yip; Naohiro Yonemoto; Seok-Jun Yoon; Mustafa Z Younis; Chuanhua Yu; Maysaa E Zaki; Yong Zhao; Yingfeng Zheng; David Zonies; Xiaonong Zou; Joshua A Salomon; Alan D Lopez; Theo Vos

doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(15)61340-X

Article dans une revue

Global, regional, and national disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for 306 diseases and injuries and healthy life expectancy (HALE) for 188 countries, 1990-2013: quantifying the epidemiological transition.

Christopher J L Murray Ryan M Barber ¹ Kyle J Foreman Ayse Abbasoglu Ozgoren Foad Abd-Allah Semaw F Abera Victor Aboyans ^{2, 3} Jerry P Abraham Ibrahim Abubakar Laith J Abu-Raddad ⁴ Niveen M Abu-Rmeileh Tom Achoki Ilana N Ackerman Zanfina Ademi Arsène K Adou José C Adsuar Ashkan Afshin Emilie E Agardh Sayed Saidul Alam Deena Alasfoor Mohammed I Albittar Miguel A Alegretti Zewdie A Alemu Rafael Alfonso-Cristancho Samia Alhabib Raghib Ali François Alla ^{5, 6} Peter Allebeck ⁷ Mohammad A Almazroa Ubai Alsharif Elena Alvarez ⁸ Nelson Alvis-Guzman Azmeraw T Amare Emmanuel A Ameh Heresh Amini ⁹ Walid Ammar H Ross Anderson ¹⁰ Benjamin O Anderson ¹¹ Carl Abelardo T Antonio Palwasha Anwari Johan Arnlöv Valentina S Arsic Arsenijevic Al Artaman Rana J Asghar Reza Assadi ¹² Lydia S Atkins ¹³ Marco A Avila Baffour Awuah Victoria F Bachman Alaa Badawi Maria C Bahit Kalpana Balakrishnan ¹⁴ Amitava Banerjee ¹⁵ Suzanne L Barker-Collo Simon Barquera Lars Barregard Lope H Barrero Arindam Basu ¹⁶ Sanjay Basu ¹⁷ Mohammed O Basulaiman Justin Beardsley Neeraj Bedi Ettore Beghi ¹⁸ Tolesa Bekele Michelle L Bell ¹⁹ Corina Benjet Derrick A Bennett ²⁰ Isabela M Bensenor Habib Benzian Eduardo Bernabé Amelia Bertozzi-Villa Tariku J Beyene Neeraj Bhala Ashish Bhalla Zulfiqar A Bhutta Kelly Bienhoff Boris Bikbov Stan Biryukov Jed D Blore Christopher D Blosser Fiona M Blyth Megan A Bohensky Ian W Bolliger Berrak Bora Başara Natan M Bornstein ²¹ Dipan Bose Soufiane Boufous Rupert R A Bourne Lindsay N Boyers Michael Brainin Carol E Brayne ²² Alexandra Brazinova Nicholas J K Breitborde Hermann Brenner Adam D Briggs ²³ Peter M Brooks ²⁴ Jonathan C Brown Traolach S Brugha Rachelle Buchbinder Geoffrey C Buckle Christine M Budke ²⁵ Anne Bulchis Andrew G Bulloch Ismael R Campos-Nonato Hélène Carabin Jonathan R Carapetis Rosario Cárdenas David O Carpenter ²⁶ Valeria Caso Carlos A Castañeda-Orjuela Ruben E Castro ²⁷ Ferrán Catalá-López Fiorella Cavalleri Alanur Çavlin Vineet K Chadha ²⁸ Jung-Chen Chang Fiona J Charlson Honglei Chen Wanqing Chen ²⁹ Peggy P Chiang Odgerel Chimed-Ochir Rajiv Chowdhury ³⁰ Hanne Christensen ³¹ Costas A Christophi ^{32, 33} Massimo Cirillo Matthew M Coates Luc E Coffeng Megan S Coggeshall Valentina Colistro Samantha M Colquhoun Graham S Cooke ³⁴ Cyrus Cooper ³⁵ Leslie T Cooper Luis M Coppola Monica Cortinovis ³⁶ Michael H Criqui John A Crump Lucia Cuevas-Nasu Hadi Danawi Lalit Dandona Rakhi Dandona Emily Dansereau Paul I Dargan Gail Davey ³⁷ Adrian Davis Dragos V Davitoiu Anand Dayama Diego de Leo Louisa Degenhardt Borja del Pozo-Cruz Robert P Dellavalle Kebede Deribe Sarah Derrett Don C Des Jarlais Muluken Dessalegn Samath D Dharmaratne Mukesh K Dherani Cesar Diaz-Torné Daniel Dicker Eric L Ding Klara Dokova E Ray Dorsey Tim R Driscoll Leilei Duan Herbert C Duber Beth E Ebel Karen M Edmond Yousef M Elshrek Matthias Endres Sergey P Ermakov Holly E Erskine Babak Eshrati Alireza Esteghamati Kara Estep Emerito Jose A Faraon Farshad Farzadfar Derek F Fay Valery L Feigin David T Felson ³⁸ Seyed-Mohammad Fereshtehnejad Jefferson G Fernandes ³⁹ Alize J Ferrari ⁴⁰ Christina Fitzmaurice Abraham D Flaxman Thomas D Fleming ⁴¹ Nataliya Foigt Mohammad H Forouzanfar F Gerry R Fowkes Urbano Fra Paleo Richard C Franklin Thomas Fürst Belinda Gabbe Lynne Gaffikin Fortuné G Gankpé Johanna M Geleijnse ⁴² Bradford D Gessner Peter Gething ⁴³ Katherine B Gibney Maurice Giroud Giorgia Giussani ¹⁸ Hector Gomez Dantes Philimon Gona Diego González-Medina Richard A Gosselin Carolyn C Gotay Atsushi Goto Hebe N Gouda Nicholas Graetz Harish C Gugnani Rahul Gupta ⁴⁴ Rajeev Gupta ⁴⁴ Reyna A Gutiérrez ⁴⁵ Juanita Haagsma Nima Hafezi-Nejad Holly Hagan Yara A Halasa Randah R Hamadeh Hannah Hamavid Mouhanad Hammami ⁴⁶ Jamie Hancock ⁴⁷ Graeme J Hankey Gillian M Hansen ⁴⁸ Yuantao Hao Hilda L Harb ⁴⁹ Josep Maria Haro Rasmus Havmoeller Simon I Hay Roderick J Hay Ileana B Heredia-Pi Kyle R Heuton Pouria Heydarpour ⁵⁰ Hideki Higashi Martha Hijar Hans W Hoek Howard J Hoffman H Dean Hosgood Mazeda Hossain ⁵¹ Peter J Hotez Damian G Hoy ⁵² Mohamed Hsairi Guoqing Hu ⁵³ Cheng Huang ⁵⁴ John J Huang Abdullatif Husseini Chantal Huynh Marissa L Iannarone Kim M Iburg Kaire Innos Manami Inoue Farhad Islami Kathryn H Jacobsen Deborah L Jarvis ⁵⁵ Simerjot K Jassal Sun Ha Jee Panniyammakal Jeemon Paul N Jensen ⁵⁶ Vivekanand Jha Guohong Jiang ⁵⁷ Ying Jiang ⁵⁸ Jost B Jonas ⁵⁹ Knud Juel Haidong Kan André Karch Corine K Karema Chante Karimkhani Ganesan Karthikeyan Nicholas J Kassebaum Anil Kaul ⁶⁰ Norito Kawakami Konstantin Kazanjan Andrew H Kemp ⁶¹ Andre P Kengne ⁶² Andre Keren Yousef S Khader Shams Eldin A Khalifa ⁶³ Ejaz A Khan Gulfaraz Khan Young-Ho Khang Christian Kieling Daniel Kim Sungroul Kim ⁶⁴ Yunjin Kim Yohannes Kinfu Jonas M Kinge Miia Kivipelto ⁶⁵ Luke D Knibbs Ann Kristin Knudsen ⁶⁶ Yoshihiro Kokubo Soewarta Kosen Sanjay Krishnaswami Barthelemy Kuate Defo Burcu Kucuk Bicer Ernst J Kuipers ⁶⁷ Chanda Kulkarni Veena S Kulkarni ⁶⁸ G Anil Kumar Hmwe H Kyu Taavi Lai ⁶⁹ Ratilal Lalloo Tea Lallukka ⁷⁰ Hilton Lam ⁷¹ Qing Lan van C Lansingh Anders Larsson ⁷² Alicia E B Lawrynowicz Janet L Leasher James Leigh Ricky Leung Carly E Levitz Bin Li ^{73, 74} Yichong Li Yongmei Li Stephen S Lim ⁷⁵ Maggie Lind ⁷⁶ Steven E Lipshultz Shiwei Liu Yang Liu ⁷⁷ Belinda K Lloyd Katherine T Lofgren Giancarlo Logroscino ⁷⁸ Katharine J Looker Joannie Lortet-Tieulent Paulo A Lotufo Rafael Lozano ⁷⁹ Robyn M Lucas Raimundas Lunevicius Ronan A Lyons ⁸⁰ Stefan Ma Michael F Macintyre Mark T Mackay ⁸¹ Marek Majdan ⁸² Reza Malekzadeh Wagner Marcenes ⁸³ David J Margolis ^{84, 85} Christopher Margono Melvin B Marzan Joseph R Masci ⁸⁶ Mohammad T Mashal Richard Matzopoulos Bongani M Mayosi Tasara T Mazorodze Neil W Mcgill ⁸⁷ John J Mcgrath Martin Mckee ⁸⁸ Abigail Mclain Peter A Meaney Catalina Medina Man Mohan Mehndiratta Wubegzier Mekonnen Yohannes A Melaku Michele Meltzer Ziad A Memish ^{89, 90} George A Mensah ⁹¹ Atte Meretoja Francis A Mhimbira Renata Micha ^{92, 93} Ted R Miller Edward J Mills ⁹⁴ Philip B Mitchell Charles N Mock Norlinah Mohamed Ibrahim Karzan A Mohammad ⁹⁵ Ali H Mokdad Glen L D Mola Lorenzo Monasta Julio C Montañez Hernandez Marcella Montico ⁹⁶ Thomas J Montine Meghan D Mooney Ami R Moore ⁹⁷ Maziar Moradi-Lakeh Andrew E Moran Rintaro Mori Joanna Moschandreas Wilkister N Moturi Madeline L Moyer Dariush Mozaffarian ^{92, 98} William T Msemburi Ulrich O Mueller Mitsuru Mukaigawara Erin C Mullany Michele E Murdoch Joseph Murray ⁹⁹ Kinnari S Murthy Mohsen Naghavi Aliya Naheed Kovin S Naidoo ^{100, 101} Luigi Naldi ¹⁰² Devina Nand Vinay Nangia K M Venkat Narayan Chakib Nejjari ¹⁰³ Sudan P Neupane Charles R Newton Marie Ng ¹⁰⁴ Frida N Ngalesoni Grant Nguyen ¹⁰⁵ Muhammad I Nisar Sandra Nolte Ole F Norheim Rosana E Norman Bo Norrving ¹⁰⁶ Luke Nyakarahuka In-Hwan Oh Takayoshi Ohkubo Summer L Ohno Bolajoko O Olusanya John Nelson Opio Katrina Ortblad Alberto Ortiz ^{107, 108, 109} Amanda W Pain Jeyaraj D Pandian Carlo Irwin A Panelo Christina Papachristou ¹¹⁰ Eun-Kee Park Jae-Hyun Park Scott B Patten George C Patton ¹¹¹ Vinod K Paul Boris I Pavlin ¹¹² Neil Pearce David M Pereira Rogelio Perez-Padilla Fernando Perez-Ruiz Norberto Perico Aslam Pervaiz Konrad Pesudovs Carrie B Peterson Max Petzold ¹¹³ Michael R Phillips ¹¹⁴ Bryan K Phillips ¹¹⁵ David E Phillips Frédéric B Piel ¹¹⁶ Dietrich Plass Dan Poenaru ¹¹⁷ Suzanne Polinder Daniel Pope Svetlana Popova Richie G Poulton ¹¹⁸ Farshad Pourmalek Dorairaj Prabhakaran ¹¹⁹ Noela M Prasad ¹²⁰ Rachel L Pullan Dima M Qato D Alex Quistberg Anwar Rafay Kazem Rahimi ¹²¹ Sajjad U Rahman ¹²² Murugesan Raju Saleem M Rana Homie Razavi K Srinath Reddy ¹²³ Amany Refaat Giuseppe Remuzzi ¹²⁴ Serge Resnikoff Antonio L Ribeiro ¹²⁵ Lee Richardson Jan Hendrik Richardus ¹²⁶ D Allen Roberts David Rojas-Rueda Luca Ronfani Gregory A Roth ¹²⁷ Dietrich Rothenbacher ¹²⁸ David H Rothstein Jane T Rowley Nobhojit Roy ¹²⁹ George M Ruhago Mohammad Y Saeedi Sukanta Saha ¹³⁰ Mohammad Ali Sahraian Uchechukwu K A Sampson Juan R Sanabria Logan Sandar Itamar S Santos ¹³¹ Maheswar Satpathy Monika Sawhney Peter Scarborough Ione J Schneider ¹³² Ben Schöttker Austin E Schumacher David C Schwebel James G Scott Soraya Seedat Sadaf G Sepanlou Peter T Serina Edson E Servan-Mori Katya A Shackelford Amira Shaheen Saeid Shahraz Teresa Shamah Levy Siyi Shangguan Jun She Sara Sheikhbahaei Peilin Shi ¹³³ Kenji Shibuya Yukito Shinohara Rahman Shiri Kawkab Shishani Ivy Shiue Mark G Shrime Inga D Sigfusdottir Donald H Silberberg Edgar P Simard Shireen Sindi Abhishek Singh ¹³⁴ Jasvinder A Singh Lavanya Singh ^{135, 136} Vegard Skirbekk Erica Leigh Slepak Karen Sliwa ¹³⁷ Samir Soneji Kjetil Søreide Sergey Soshnikov Luciano A Sposato Chandrashekhar T Sreeramareddy Jeffrey D Stanaway Vasiliki Stathopoulou Dan J Stein Murray B Stein ¹³⁸ Caitlyn Steiner Timothy J Steiner Antony Stevens Andrea Stewart ¹³⁹ Lars J Stovner Konstantinos Stroumpoulis Bruno F Sunguya Soumya Swaminathan Mamta Swaroop Bryan L Sykes Karen M Tabb Ken Takahashi ¹⁴⁰ Nikhil Tandon ¹⁴¹ David Tanne ¹⁴² Marcel Tanner ¹⁴³ Mohammad Tavakkoli Hugh R Taylor ¹⁴⁴ Braden J Te Ao Fabrizio Tediosi Awoke M Temesgen Tara Templin Margreet ten Have Eric Y Tenkorang Abdullah S Terkawi Blake Thomson ¹⁴⁵ Andrew L Thorne-Lyman Amanda G Thrift George D Thurston Taavi Tillmann Marcello Tonelli ¹⁴⁶ Fotis Topouzis ¹⁴⁷ Hideaki Toyoshima Jefferson Traebert Bach X Tran ¹⁴⁸ Matias Trillini Thomas Truelsen Miltiadis Tsilimbaris Emin M Tuzcu Uche S Uchendu Kingsley N Ukwaja Eduardo A Undurraga Selen B Uzun Wim H van Brakel Steven van de Vijver Coen H van Gool Jim van Os ¹⁴⁹ Tommi J Vasankari N Venketasubramanian Francesco S Violante ¹⁵⁰ Vasiliy V Vlassov ¹⁵¹ Stein Emil Vollset Gregory R Wagner Joseph Wagner ¹⁵² Stephen G Waller ¹⁵³ Xia Wan Haidong Wang Jianli Wang Linhong Wang Tati S Warouw Scott Weichenthal Elisabete Weiderpass Robert G Weintraub Wang Wenzhi Andrea Werdecker Ronny Westerman Harvey A Whiteford James D Wilkinson ¹⁵⁴ Thomas N Williams Charles D Wolfe ^{155, 156} Timothy M Wolock Anthony D Woolf Sarah Wulf ¹⁵⁷ Brittany Wurtz Gelin Xu ^{158, 159} Lijing L Yan Yuichiro Yano Pengpeng Ye Gökalp K Yentür Paul Yip ¹⁶⁰ Naohiro Yonemoto Seok-Jun Yoon ¹⁶¹ Mustafa Z Younis Chuanhua Yu ⁷⁹ Maysaa E Zaki Yong Zhao Yingfeng Zheng David Zonies Xiaonong Zou ¹⁶² Joshua A Salomon Alan D Lopez ¹⁶³ Theo Vos

1 STFC - Computational Science and Engineering Department [Daresbury]

2 NET - Neuroépidémiologie Tropicale

3 Service de Chirurgie Thoracique et Vasculaire - Médecine vasculaire [CHU Limoges]

4 Weill Cornell Medical College - Qatar, Qatar Foundation - Education City, Doha

5 APEMAC - Maladies chroniques, santé perçue, et processus d'adaptation

6 Centre d'Investigation Clinique - Epidemiologie Clinique/essais Cliniques Nancy

7 Karolinska Institute

8 CEAZA - Centro de Estudios Avanzados en Zonas Aridas

9 EPFL - Ecole Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne

10 Wisconsin Division of Public Health

11 Regional Genetic Service, St Mary's Hospital, Manchester

12 LIM - Laboratoire d'Ingénierie des Matériaux

13 Computer Science Department [Bristol]

14 LBNL - Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory [Berkeley]

15 SRI-B - Samsung Research &Development Institute India - Bangalore (Groupe Samsung)

16 MRC - Multimedia Research Center

17 Biostat - MINNEAPOLIS - Division of Biostatistics

18 Laboratory of Neurologic Diseases, Mario Negri Institute, Milan

19 University of Southampton

20 Imperial College London

21 Neurology Department

22 Department of Public Health and Primary Care

23 InTRu - Interactions, transferts, ruptures artistiques et culturels - EA 6301

24 IJM (UMR_7592) - Institut Jacques Monod

25 Institute of Parasitology

26 STAR laboratory

27 VIM (UR 0892) - Unité de recherche Virologie et Immunologie Moléculaires

28 Tennent Institute of Ophthalmology

29 NUS - National University of Singapore

30 Multidisciplinary Nanotechnology Centre

31 Department of Computer Sciences [Scheffield]

32 Cyprus International Institute for the Environment and Public Health

33 Harvard School of Public Health

34 Glasgow Centre for Physical Organic Chemistry

35 King‘s College London

36 UP1 UFR11 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - UFR Science Politique

37 NDC - National Diagnostics Centre

38 MANCHESTER - Arthritis Research - Arthritis Research UK Epidemiology Unit

39 CEGOT - Porto

40 ALES - Advanced Laboratories on Embedded Systems [Roma]

41 Department of Biology [Miami]

42 Division of Human Nutrition

43 Spatial Ecology and Epidemiology Group

44 Department of Civil Engineering [Hamirpur]

45 GEMMA — Environmental Engineering and Microbiology Research Group, Department of Hydraulic, Maritime and Environmental Engineering

46 INRAP - Institut National de Recherche et d'Analyse Physico-Chimique

47 UCONN - University of Connecticut

48 NILU - Norwegian Institute for Air Research

49 FEMTO-ST - Franche-Comté Électronique Mécanique, Thermique et Optique - Sciences et Technologies (UMR 6174)

50 University of Tehran

51 FAU - Friedrich-Alexander Universität Erlangen-Nürnberg

52 Secretariat of the Pacific Community

53 SAGE - Sociétés, Acteurs, Gouvernement en Europe

54 GW - The George Washington University

55 WSU - Washington State University

56 Phys-ENS - Laboratoire de Physique de l'ENS Lyon

57 IRIT - Institut de recherche en informatique de Toulouse

58 School of Computer Science - China University of Geosciences (China University of Geosciences (East Area))

59 UCL - Université Catholique de Louvain

60 DRDO, INMAS - Div Cyclotron & Radiopharmaceut Sci

61 School of Physics and Astronomy

62 University of Cape Town

63 Department of Neuroscience

64 Department of Computer Science and Engineering [Daejeon] (Chungnam National University)

65 Karolinska Institutet [Stockholm]

66 Lawrence University

67 Gastroenterology & Hepatology

68 TRDDC - Tata Research Development and Design Center

69 MOLTECH-Anjou

70 University of Helsinki

71 Google Inc [Mountain View]

72 FOI - Swedish Defense Research Agency

73 CRIBS - Centre de Recherche en Information Biomédicale sino-français

74 LIST - Laboratory of Image Science and Technology [Nanjing]

75 LGGE - Laboratoire de glaciologie et géophysique de l'environnement

76 School of Business and Informatics

77 CAD Laboratory - Department of Mechanical and Automation Engineering

78 Università degli studi di Bari

79 Heudiasyc - Heuristique et Diagnostic des Systèmes Complexes [Compiègne]

80 Department of plant pathology and microbiology - centre for sustainable pest and disease management

81 RGU

82 Department of Rheumatology and Connective Tissue Diseases

83 Barts and The London School of Medicine and Dentistry

84 CES - Centre d'économie de la Sorbonne

85 PSE - Paris School of Economics

86 IDSIA - Istituto Dalle Molle di Studi sull'Intelligenza Artificiale

87 Anaesthetics

88 Department of Mathematics

89 College of Medicine

90 Saudi Ministry of Health

91 Institut national des recherches agricoles du Bénin

92 Departments of Epidemiology and Nutrition

93 Unit of Human Nutrition

94 Department of Animal Science

95 University of Virginia

96 Epidemiology and Biostatistics Unit

97 JPL - Jet Propulsion Laboratory

98 Division of Cardiovascular Medicine and Channing Division of Network Medicine

99 Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Immunology

100 Department of Chemistry

101 Scientific Computing Research Unit

102 Department of dermatology

103 Department of epidemiology and Public Health

104 HKBU - Hong Kong Baptist University

105 OPT - Département Optique

106 Department of Neurology Lunds University Hospital Lund

107 SAMOVAR - Services répartis, Architectures, MOdélisation, Validation, Administration des Réseaux

108 RS2M - Département Réseaux et Services Multimédia Mobiles

109 CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique

110 Electrical Engineering and Computer Science Department - Case Western Reserve University

111 University of Melbourne

112 World Health Organization

113 Nordic School of Public Health

114 The James Hutton Institute

115 Sero

116 Evolutionary Ecology of Infectious Disease Group

117 Horia Hulubei National Institute for Physics and Nuclear Engineering

118 Dunedin School of Medicine

119 Department of Physics, Clarendon Laboratory

120 CTIF - Center for TeleInFrastruktur

121 Physikalisches Institut [Freiburg]

122 STL - Savoirs, Textes, Langage (STL) - UMR 8163

123 Dept.of Computer Science

124 Istituto Mario Negri Bergamo

125 UNESP - Universidade Estadual Paulista Júlio de Mesquita Filho [São José do Rio Preto]

126 Department of Public Health

127 UGA UFRM - Université Grenoble Alpes - UFR Médecine

128 Clinical Epidemiology and Aging Research

129 IC UM3 (UMR 8104 / U1016) - Institut Cochin

130 Symantec

131 EMIC - European Microsoft Innovation Center

132 LMPG - Laboratoire de Mécanique, Physique et Géosciences

133 NITD - Novartis Institute for Tropical Diseases

134 IGBMC - Institut de Génétique et de Biologie Moléculaire et Cellulaire

135 Departments of Anatomy and Cell Biology

136 Departments of Ophthalmology

137 Departments of Applied Physics [New Haven]

138 CMM - Center for Mathematical Modeling

139 LASP - Laboratory for Atmospheric and Space Physics [Boulder]

140 UEOH - University of Occupational and Environmental Health [Kitakyushu]

141 Department of Computer Science and Engineering [New Delhi]

142 IRPHE - Institut de Recherche sur les Phénomènes Hors Equilibre

143 GlaxoSmithKline

144 Department of Obstetrics, Gynecology and Reproductive Sciences

145 Maclean Building, Benson Lane, Crowmarsh Gifford

146 NEST - Nanoscience Institute

147 Aristotle University of Thessaloniki

148 LICB - Laboratory Of Immune Cell Biology

NIH - National Institutes of Health [Bethesda]

149 Institute of Human Genetics

150 Occupational Health Unit

151 KTH - Royal Institute of Technology [Stockholm]

152 LMU - Institut für Informatik [München/Munich]

153 NICTA [Eveleigh]

154 Manchester Academic Health Sciences Centre

155 IHPST - Institut d'Histoire et de Philosophie des Sciences et des Techniques

156 UGENT - Ghent University [Belgium]

157 GFZ - German Research Centre for Geosciences - Helmholtz-Centre Potsdam

158 LHEEA - Laboratoire de recherche en Hydrodynamique, Énergétique et Environnement Atmosphérique

159 GeM - Institut de Recherche en Génie Civil et Mécanique

160 Neurorestoration Group

161 CS - Department of Computer Science [KAIST]

162 Natl Engn Res Ctr Vegetables, Key Lab Biol & Genet Improvement Hort Crops N Chi

163 University Hospital Puerta de Hierro, Madrid

Abstract : The Global Burden of Disease Study 2013 (GBD 2013) aims to bring together all available epidemiological data using a coherent measurement framework, standardised estimation methods, and transparent data sources to enable comparisons of health loss over time and across causes, age-sex groups, and countries. The GBD can be used to generate summary measures such as disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) and healthy life expectancy (HALE) that make possible comparative assessments of broad epidemiological patterns across countries and time. These summary measures can also be used to quantify the component of variation in epidemiology that is related to sociodemographic development. We used the published GBD 2013 data for age-specific mortality, years of life lost due to premature mortality (YLLs), and years lived with disability (YLDs) to calculate DALYs and HALE for 1990, 1995, 2000, 2005, 2010, and 2013 for 188 countries. We calculated HALE using the Sullivan method; 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs) represent uncertainty in age-specific death rates and YLDs per person for each country, age, sex, and year. We estimated DALYs for 306 causes for each country as the sum of YLLs and YLDs; 95% UIs represent uncertainty in YLL and YLD rates. We quantified patterns of the epidemiological transition with a composite indicator of sociodemographic status, which we constructed from income per person, average years of schooling after age 15 years, and the total fertility rate and mean age of the population. We applied hierarchical regression to DALY rates by cause across countries to decompose variance related to the sociodemographic status variable, country, and time. Worldwide, from 1990 to 2013, life expectancy at birth rose by 6·2 years (95% UI 5·6-6·6), from 65·3 years (65·0-65·6) in 1990 to 71·5 years (71·0-71·9) in 2013, HALE at birth rose by 5·4 years (4·9-5·8), from 56·9 years (54·5-59·1) to 62·3 years (59·7-64·8), total DALYs fell by 3·6% (0·3-7·4), and age-standardised DALY rates per 100 000 people fell by 26·7% (24·6-29·1). For communicable, maternal, neonatal, and nutritional disorders, global DALY numbers, crude rates, and age-standardised rates have all declined between 1990 and 2013, whereas for non-communicable diseases, global DALYs have been increasing, DALY rates have remained nearly constant, and age-standardised DALY rates declined during the same period. From 2005 to 2013, the number of DALYs increased for most specific non-communicable diseases, including cardiovascular diseases and neoplasms, in addition to dengue, food-borne trematodes, and leishmaniasis; DALYs decreased for nearly all other causes. By 2013, the five leading causes of DALYs were ischaemic heart disease, lower respiratory infections, cerebrovascular disease, low back and neck pain, and road injuries. Sociodemographic status explained more than 50% of the variance between countries and over time for diarrhoea, lower respiratory infections, and other common infectious diseases; maternal disorders; neonatal disorders; nutritional deficiencies; other communicable, maternal, neonatal, and nutritional diseases; musculoskeletal disorders; and other non-communicable diseases. However, sociodemographic status explained less than 10% of the variance in DALY rates for cardiovascular diseases; chronic respiratory diseases; cirrhosis; diabetes, urogenital, blood, and endocrine diseases; unintentional injuries; and self-harm and interpersonal violence. Predictably, increased sociodemographic status was associated with a shift in burden from YLLs to YLDs, driven by declines in YLLs and increases in YLDs from musculoskeletal disorders, neurological disorders, and mental and substance use disorders. In most country-specific estimates, the increase in life expectancy was greater than that in HALE. Leading causes of DALYs are highly variable across countries. Global health is improving. Population growth and ageing have driven up numbers of DALYs, but crude rates have remained relatively constant, showing that progress in health does not mean fewer demands on health systems. The notion of an epidemiological transition--in which increasing sociodemographic status brings structured change in disease burden--is useful, but there is tremendous variation in burden of disease that is not associated with sociodemographic status. This further underscores the need for country-specific assessments of DALYs and HALE to appropriately inform health policy decisions and attendant actions. Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

Type de document :

Article dans une revue

Domaine :

Sciences du Vivant [q-bio] / Santé publique et épidémiologie

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https://hal-unilim.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01262808
Contributeur : Elisabeth Grelier <>
Soumis le : mercredi 27 janvier 2016 - 11:26:03
Dernière modification le : samedi 19 juin 2021 - 04:17:49

Global, regional, and national disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for 306 diseases and injuries and healthy life expectancy (HALE) for 188 countries, 1990-2013: quantifying the epidemiological transition.

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Global, regional, and national disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for 306 diseases and injuries and healthy life expectancy (HALE) for 188 countries, 1990-2013: quantifying the epidemiological transition.

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